Archive for the ‘damned lies and statistics’ Category

h1

Slightly faster broadband

3 Mar 2008

Minister for Broadband Stephen Conroy yesterday delivered the exciting news that the government’s planned $4.7 billion broadband network would deliver speeds “up to 100 times faster than what is currently available”. Sounds great!

It will achieve this by running fibre-optic connections to the telecommunications pillar mushrooms on street corners then using VDSL (very fast digital something something else) to deliver speeds of up to 25Mbps to homes.

Call me a pedant if you must, but that’s not 100 times faster than what’s currently available. I may be decaf soy latte drinking inner city elite, but I get around 19Mbps using ADSL2 and living about a kilometre from my phone exchange. I’m no maths genius, but I’m pretty sure 25Mbps is not 100 times faster than 19Mpbs. In fact I’d say it something closer to 1.3 times faster.

But Senator Conroy’s calculation is based on the claim that “most broadband users currently receive only 256 kilobits per second”. Which is

  • A lie - statistics more than a year old show two-thirds of broadband users on faster than 256Kbps and
  • A damning criticism of how Conroy’s predecessors let Telstra and the rest of the internet industry deliberately retard broadband access and make obscene profits.

Seems like when it comes to technology, the new federal government is as pompous and incompetent as the last.

h1

Google outspends Australia 20:1 on renewable energy

29 Nov 2007

Earlier this week, Google founders Larry Page and Sergey Brin pledged to spend “hundreds of millions”, in the long run, on renewable energy research and projects in an initiative called RE<C (renewable energy cheaper than coal) (nerds).

The project’s eventual aim is to build one gigawatt of renewable energy capacity that is cheaper than coal. This is enough to power “a city the size of San Francisco”. (Though not, it seems, the actual city of San Francisco. Perhaps a city the size of San Francisco in a poorer country without all the energy-hogging fat Westerners in it.)

Anyhoo, a laudable aim, for sure, even if some cynical media types have pointed out Google’s interest is not entirely philanthropic, given its reliance on vast datacentres chock full of electricity-sucking servers.

By contrast, former PM Howard, even in über-generous election fire-sale mode, could only manage $75 million for renewables.  And commie Big Kev’s $500 million might only equal Google’s investments. Just for comparison, Google earned US$10.6 billion in 2006 (around $12 billion Oz); the Australian government ‘earned’ $232 billion in 2006-07.

A back-of-the-envelope calculation puts Google spending about 20 times more, as a proportion of revenue, than the Australian federal government on renewable energy. That’s taking into account the generous pledges of the Labor federal government that just got elected on its green credentials.

Seems like if there’s to be any real action on global warming, it’s going to come from the people and the private sector - not wishy washy politicos . . . of any flavour.

h1

Democratic triumph

15 Sep 2007

The democratising brilliance of Web 2.0 is that it has allowed one billion global citizens to post “OMG, me too!”, “LOL” and “This is so fucking gay” next to every single item published on the web, 24 hours a day, 100,000 times a minute.

Can anyone doubt that if we had not developed this ability, just in time, the terrorists would already have won?

h1

Note to self: get pregnant, move to marginal seat, start religious private school

21 Aug 2007

The treasurer today announced a budget surplus of $17.3 billion, a whopping $3.7 billion higher than anticipated when the budget was announced in May.

A substantial $7 billion of this will go into the Future Fund (portrayed as ‘a sensible investment for the future’ instead of ‘politicians lining their own pockets‘). Another $6 billion goes to the Higher Education Endowment Fund. Medical research infrastructure gets $2.5 billion.

That leaves a good $1.8 billion to spend on . . . who knows? Tax cuts for the rich? Handouts for breeders? Pork barrelling in marginal electorates? Sorry, I meant to say ‘responsible spending on infrastructure that will not drive up inflation or interest rates’. Snort.

My only advice is: work out some way to cash in before October.

h1

Facewha?

13 Jul 2007

Isn’t it curious that the chaps at The Oz seem to be giving a lot more airtime to MySpace than Facebook? Especially when MySpace is pretty much old hat in the journosphere, whereas the mainstream media currently can’t get enough stories about Facebook.

In today’s Australian, we discover that Kevin Rudd has started a MySpace profile and has friends such as Naughty Amelia Jane, a 19-year-old law student from Melbourne (from the ‘whenever a story is boring, put a teenage girl in it’ school of journalism).  But Big Kev has been on Facebook for more than a month, which The Oz mysteriously never covered. Yesterday, The Australian told us that although Facebook is growing quickly, it is “light-years behind MySpace’s 3.8 million Australian profiles” with only 141,000 Aussies signed up.

We can’t help but notice that Big Rupert recently spent a few hundred of his millions acquiring MySpace, whereas Facebook is still owned by its founder Mark Zuckerberg (who has refused to sell despite reported offers of up to US$2.3 billion). Not that we would ever accuse our colleagues at chez News of allowing their master’s interests to cloud their journalistic objectivity.

h1

Newsflash: guns kill people

23 Apr 2007

I doubt anything I say here hasn’t been said before, but I’m always completely mystified when people who otherwise seem at least vaguely competent at rational thought repeat the NRA slogan - now all together kids, “guns don’t kill people, people kill people” - as if they actually believe it.

Because it is obvious to any sentient being with a capacity for reason greater than that of a retarded chihuahua that this is utter, utter nonsense. Here are four very simple reasons why:

  1. It is easier to kill someone deliberately with a gun. Easier than stabbing them, poisoning them, pushing them in front of a bus or beating them to death with a computer keyboard. No planning required, instant gratification - bang, dead, before you have time to think about it or regret it.
  2. It is easier to kill someone accidentally with a gun. In countries with lots of guns, there’s no shortage of manslaughter cases where people were shot through mistaken identity, fooling around, accidents, losing your cool in the heat of the moment, etc. It’s a lot easier than killing someone accidentally with a computer keyboard.
  3. It is easier to kill yourself deliberately with a gun. Without guns, some would-be suicides would instead slit their writsts, poison themselves or jump off a tall building. Some wouldn’t. We lack sufficient knowledge of the afterlife to say for sure what proportion of people who shot themselves regretted it afterwards or might have been put off if they hadn’t had a gun handy, but we can only assume it was at least some of them.
  4. It is easier to kill yourself accidentally with a gun. See #2, particularly fooling around and accidents. Guns are dangerous!

These all add up to one very big meta-reason against gun ownership: fewer guns means fewer dead people. Japan has probably the strictest gun ownership laws in the world, which goes a long way to explaining this statistical difference:

Country Population Gun-related deaths
in the last year
United States 300 million Around 30,000
Japan 128 million 53

Admittedly, Japan has had a fairly quiet year gun-wise, but this is a pretty big disparity that is hard to explain away by other factors. So in order to justify private gun ownership, it would be necessary to demonstrate the social good of allowing people to own guns. These benefits must outweigh the deaths of 29,947 people each year, so they’d better be bloody good. But almost none of them stand up to basic scrutiny.

Read the rest of this entry ?

h1

Newsflash: George W Bush is stupid and US democracy is broken

18 Apr 2007

Australian Martin Bryant still holds the record for the world’s worst gun rampage, when he killed 35 people at Port Arthur, Tasmania in 1996. A dubious honour, to be sure. Prior to this, Australia had a fairly strong going-postal tradition: Milperra in 1984, Hoddle Street and Queen Street in 1987, Strathfield in 1991 and the Central Coast in 1992*. After Port Arthur, in a display of political bravery and farsightedness that proved to be as rare as it was uncharacteristic, the Howard Government passed tough gun laws and collected and destroyed more than half a million weapons.

Since 1996, here are some sobering statistics*:

Country Massacres People killed in massacres
Australia 0 0
United States 9 93

The US has had Jonesboro in 1998, Columbine in 1999, Wichita in 2000, Red Lake in 2005, Goleta, Capitol Hill and the Pennsylvania Amish school in 2006, Trolley Square earlier this year and now Blacksburg*. Australia has had none*.

That’s just gun massacres folks. Guns, sorry PEOPLE with guns, kill at least 30,000 people in the US each year. In Australia, it’s more like 300, most of which are suicide. Yet opinion polls consistently show that Americans believe poor parenting and violent movies and video games are greater causes of gun violence than gun ownership.

More guns = more dead people. It ain’t rocket science.

But President Bush took time out from consoling his country to assert that he continues to believe in the “right to bear arms”. From memory, every time a gun massacre has occurred in the US (that’s six* so far during Dubya’s presidency) he has immediately come out to reassure the NRA nutjobs that even though a whole bunch of people were just killed by guns, sorry, people with guns, he won’t make stricter gun laws.

What would make a politician do something so abjectly undiplomatic, insensitive and idiotic as to stand up in front of a bunch of people whose loved ones were just killed with guns (people with guns) and say “We support people’s rights to own guns”?!

The only possible answer is that Dubya and all US politicians live in absolute fear for their political lives instilled by a power-mad lobby group that represents the views of its insane, stupid and myopically self-centred members all too well, to the obvious and ongoing detriment of American society.

*(Lists and statistics collected from Wikipedia. May not be complete, accurate or true.)

h1

Blogs are dead

26 Mar 2007

This is not, as you might think, because people are beginning to realise that the so-called democratisation of the Internet means the voices of professionals and experts are drowned out by a dictatorship of idiots or because “99% of the ‘blogosphere’ is rubbish created by idiots” but because pea-brained, crotch-flashing celebrities lack the self-discipline to narcissise regularly. (”Narcissise” is not real word, but it seems more appropriate than “blog” or “post”.) And if celebrities can’t do it, who can? Apparently, the readers of The Australian, who seem unaware of the irony in responding to this ridiculous trollery.

h1

I’d like my $20 billion back

13 Mar 2007

The inefficiency, duplication and buck-passing of having federal and state governments in Australia cost $9 billion a year, according to a conservative estimate by the Business Council of Australia, which is really more like $20 billion a year according to a less conservative George Williams.

That’s 9% of government spending and 3% of GDP. That’s around $2,400 per family. That’s a lot

We face a choice. The first option is to continue to pay extra tax and accept second-rate government services. We have been led in this direction by generations of politicians who have found it easier to leave the system as is rather than take up the challenge of reform.

A reason for this is that the present system benefits those in power.

Just a reason? You’re far too generous, Prof.

There is a deafening absence of rhetoric from either major party on any serious reform. Or minor party, come to think of it, unless you count this bloke, who aims to start abolishing the state governments by running for the NSW upper house. Riiiight . . . the idea being he’s going to reform the system of overgovernment that benefits those in power by joining those in power in the tier of government he says we don’t need.

Why didn’t I think of that?

h1

The big 5,000

12 Mar 2007

Some time this morning, the hit counter ticked over the 5,000 mark. Especially since it has been more than a year since I switched over to WordPress, this is a remarkably small and unimpressive number of page views of which to be proud. An average of 12.6 a day. But I am proud anyway.

What it is that has gained me such worldwide notoriety and fame? Is it my intelligent and iconoclastic analyses of Australian politics, media and gender relations? My wry and dark humour? My wit and compassion?

Nah.

Presenting this blog’s three most popular posts: Read the rest of this entry ?